Will the Corona epidemic ever end?

Scientists are still confused about the future of the Corona. According to a worrying research, there are no signs that the situation in June 2021 is better than the current situation.

New delhi date. 12 March 2021, Friday

According to an estimate, the global death toll is likely to cross 17.5 lakh in June 2021. This year too, the people will have to accept small and big lockdowns from time to time.

More worryingly, according to some scientists, the currently available vaccines are likely to provide only 6 months of immunity against the virus.

Corona's future depends on these three things

1. Does the human body naturally develop immunity to corona?

2. What is the effect of cold heat and rainy season corona infection?

3. How vigilant are the government and especially the citizens themselves to fight the Corona?

What is Corona's current status?

There are currently more than 15 million cases of corona reported worldwide. Corona has killed 6 lakh 50 thousand people in the world. According to this condition, if the human body does not develop long-term immunity against the corona, the corona is likely to continue for 2025 or even years.

What could happen in the near future?

The hopeful news is that while Corona's active cases were on the rise around the world and most countries were in a state of lockdown, scientists expected the lockdown to end and the number of cases worldwide to increase by half. However, the increase was not as high as scientists had hoped.

The main reason behind this is that now even the common people have started wearing 1. Mask, 2. Keeping social distance, 3. Washing hands regularly with soap. According to experts, these habits are more useful to prevent corona than any kind of lockdown, vaccines, drugs.

These habits can control the epidemic in the long run. Scientists estimate that the corona could be controlled in the next two years if 50-65% of people are careful.

What to do after Corona is overpowered?

There are countries in the world right now like Hong Kong, New Zealand, South Korea where Corona has been successfully subdued. These cohorts are isolated by constant testing, monitoring, and contact tracing of at least 80% of the infected patients who have been found in these countries. In addition, testing and isolation of people from other countries is done strictly so that the virus does not re-enter from outside the country.

However the process of contact tracing is tough. The main reason behind this is that according to the research of MIT University in the month of June, there are in fact 12 times more cases of registered corona worldwide. Thus Corona has inadvertently spread to millions of people. These unsuspecting people become super spreaders.

Corona's future after 2021: Possibility 1

According to one possibility, the immune system in the body lasts forever after the corona. If the immune system enters the body after an infection or after a vaccine, the corona is likely to end in 2021. However, according to one report, the United States, with more corona cases and deaths, still has only 1 to 6% immunity. Thus the spread of immunity can take a long time.

Possibility 2

Another possibility is that a coronavirus infection or vaccine provides the body with immunity for up to two years. If that happened then the Corona riots could begin again in 2024 after disappearing for a while.

Possibility 3

A third possibility is that a coronavirus infection or vaccine gives the body 40 to 80 weeks of immunity. Under these circumstances the disease is likely to turn from pandemic to endemic. This means that in countries where there are cold and dry winters, and in countries where the number of elderly people is higher, the corona is likely to take care of itself by blowing fluids from time to time.

Hope for more effective vaccines in the future with more statistics and more research

Even if the corona does not get out of control in the next few years, scientists hope that people will be saved from the epidemic by developing more and more effective corona vaccines, which are being researched quickly. Until then, however, people have no choice but to adhere to standards such as masks and social distance.